In January 2025, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield rose from 4.57% to 4.76% by mid-month, driven by strong economic data, including a robust December non-farm payroll report. However, it declined to 4.54% by month-end due to stable CPI data, easing inflation concerns. US headline CPI increased to 2.9% YoY in December, while core CPI slightly […]

In December 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury yield trended upward, starting at 4.19% and ending at 4.57%, driven by the FED’s revised PCE inflation target from 2.1% to 2.5% for 2025 and adjusted Federal Funds Rate expectations. The FED cut rates by 25bps to 4.25%-4.50% on December 19th, projecting a median rate of 3.9% by […]

In November 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury yield trended downward, starting at 4.38% and ending at 4.17% on November 29th. This decline followed the FOMC minutes, which highlighted balanced risks to inflation and employment, hinting at a likely rate cut in December 2024 or January 2025. Conversely, Indonesia’s 10-Year government bond yield rose from 6.76% […]

In October 2024, financial markets experienced significant changes across key indicators. The 10-Year US Treasury yield moved upward, starting at 3.72% and reaching 3.92% by month-end, as stronger-than expected labor data tempered investor expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts pace in 2025. In Indonesia, the 10-Year government bond yield also increased, moving from 6.45% at […]

In September 2024, financial markets saw various shifts across key indicators. The 10-Year US Treasury yield exhibited a downtrend, falling from 3.9% at the start of the month to 3.62% by mid-September, before slightly recovering to 3.75%. This movement was influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid softening inflation and unemployment figures. Simultaneously, […]

In August 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield showed significant volatility then stabilized at 3.9% by month-end due to mixed economic signals and weaker demand in Treasury auctions. Concurrently, the US headline CPI decreased slightly to 2.89%, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested an impending interest rate cut to meet the Fed’s 2% inflation target. […]

In July 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield declined from 4.46% to 4.03%, driven by easing inflation concerns, which raised expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and increased demand for Treasury bonds amid recession fears; concurrently, the US headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 2.97% YoY in June, primarily due to lower energy […]

In June 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield fluctuated from 4.39% to 4.47% mid-month due to strong labor market data, then fell to 4.22% as the Fed adjusted its rate cut expectations, and eventually stabilized at 4.39%, while US inflation declined to a 3.3% YoY headline CPI in May. Concurrently, Indonesia experienced a 0.08% month-to-month […]

In May 2024, the US 10 Year Treasury Yield experienced fluctuations, initially dipping to 4.34% mid-month before rebounding to 4.5% by month-end, reflecting economic uncertainty due to disappointing data releases such as a manufacturing sector contraction and a slight rise in unemployment. Despite this, the Federal Reserve’s May meeting minutes showed policymakers’ cautious optimism about […]

In April 2024, significant shifts were observed in both the US Treasury Yield and Indonesia’s economic landscape. Firstly, the 10 Year US Treasury Yield surged notably, climbing from 4.20% to 4.68%, propelled by persistent inflation pressures and increased monthly net issuances. This trajectory indicated expectations of prolonged higher interest rates, prompting investors to anticipate a […]