In March 2025, the 10-year US Treasury yield rose from 4.16% to 4.21%, driven by renewed global trade tensions and rising inflation expectations. US tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, followed by Trump’s announcement of broad reciprocal tariffs starting April 9, heightened fears of a trade war. These developments fueled cost-push inflation concerns and delayed […]

In February 2025, the 10-year US Treasury yield dropped from about 4.8% in mid-January to roughly 4.2%, its steepest decline in months, as investors’ strengthened Fed rate cut expectations and a “growth scare” driven by weak consumer spending. US headline CPI rose to 3.0% YoY in January (up from 2.9% in December) while core CPI […]

In January 2025, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield rose from 4.57% to 4.76% by mid-month, driven by strong economic data, including a robust December non-farm payroll report. However, it declined to 4.54% by month-end due to stable CPI data, easing inflation concerns. US headline CPI increased to 2.9% YoY in December, while core CPI slightly […]

In December 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury yield trended upward, starting at 4.19% and ending at 4.57%, driven by the FED’s revised PCE inflation target from 2.1% to 2.5% for 2025 and adjusted Federal Funds Rate expectations. The FED cut rates by 25bps to 4.25%-4.50% on December 19th, projecting a median rate of 3.9% by […]

In November 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury yield trended downward, starting at 4.38% and ending at 4.17% on November 29th. This decline followed the FOMC minutes, which highlighted balanced risks to inflation and employment, hinting at a likely rate cut in December 2024 or January 2025. Conversely, Indonesia’s 10-Year government bond yield rose from 6.76% […]

In October 2024, financial markets experienced significant changes across key indicators. The 10-Year US Treasury yield moved upward, starting at 3.72% and reaching 3.92% by month-end, as stronger-than expected labor data tempered investor expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts pace in 2025. In Indonesia, the 10-Year government bond yield also increased, moving from 6.45% at […]

In September 2024, financial markets saw various shifts across key indicators. The 10-Year US Treasury yield exhibited a downtrend, falling from 3.9% at the start of the month to 3.62% by mid-September, before slightly recovering to 3.75%. This movement was influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid softening inflation and unemployment figures. Simultaneously, […]

In August 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield showed significant volatility then stabilized at 3.9% by month-end due to mixed economic signals and weaker demand in Treasury auctions. Concurrently, the US headline CPI decreased slightly to 2.89%, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested an impending interest rate cut to meet the Fed’s 2% inflation target. […]

In July 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield declined from 4.46% to 4.03%, driven by easing inflation concerns, which raised expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and increased demand for Treasury bonds amid recession fears; concurrently, the US headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 2.97% YoY in June, primarily due to lower energy […]

In June 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield fluctuated from 4.39% to 4.47% mid-month due to strong labor market data, then fell to 4.22% as the Fed adjusted its rate cut expectations, and eventually stabilized at 4.39%, while US inflation declined to a 3.3% YoY headline CPI in May. Concurrently, Indonesia experienced a 0.08% month-to-month […]