Fixed Income
In November 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury yield trended downward, starting at 4.38% and ending at 4.17% on November 29th. This decline followed the FOMC minutes, which highlighted balanced risks to inflation and employment, hinting at a likely rate cut in December 2024 or January 2025. Conversely, Indonesia’s 10-Year government bond yield rose from 6.76% […]
In October 2024, financial markets experienced significant changes across key indicators. The 10-Year US Treasury yield moved upward, starting at 3.72% and reaching 3.92% by month-end, as stronger-than expected labor data tempered investor expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts pace in 2025. In Indonesia, the 10-Year government bond yield also increased, moving from 6.45% at […]
In September 2024, financial markets saw various shifts across key indicators. The 10-Year US Treasury yield exhibited a downtrend, falling from 3.9% at the start of the month to 3.62% by mid-September, before slightly recovering to 3.75%. This movement was influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid softening inflation and unemployment figures. Simultaneously, […]
In August 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield showed significant volatility then stabilized at 3.9% by month-end due to mixed economic signals and weaker demand in Treasury auctions. Concurrently, the US headline CPI decreased slightly to 2.89%, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested an impending interest rate cut to meet the Fed’s 2% inflation target. […]
In July 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield declined from 4.46% to 4.03%, driven by easing inflation concerns, which raised expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and increased demand for Treasury bonds amid recession fears; concurrently, the US headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 2.97% YoY in June, primarily due to lower energy […]
In June 2024, the 10-Year US Treasury Yield fluctuated from 4.39% to 4.47% mid-month due to strong labor market data, then fell to 4.22% as the Fed adjusted its rate cut expectations, and eventually stabilized at 4.39%, while US inflation declined to a 3.3% YoY headline CPI in May. Concurrently, Indonesia experienced a 0.08% month-to-month […]
In May 2024, the US 10 Year Treasury Yield experienced fluctuations, initially dipping to 4.34% mid-month before rebounding to 4.5% by month-end, reflecting economic uncertainty due to disappointing data releases such as a manufacturing sector contraction and a slight rise in unemployment. Despite this, the Federal Reserve’s May meeting minutes showed policymakers’ cautious optimism about […]
In April 2024, significant shifts were observed in both the US Treasury Yield and Indonesia’s economic landscape. Firstly, the 10 Year US Treasury Yield surged notably, climbing from 4.20% to 4.68%, propelled by persistent inflation pressures and increased monthly net issuances. This trajectory indicated expectations of prolonged higher interest rates, prompting investors to anticipate a […]
Escalating tension in the Middle East, particularly between Iran and Israel, has sparked conflicts, including missile attacks and airstrikes. This geopolitical instability poses risks to Indonesia’s fixed income market, exacerbated by the potential impact of oil prices rising to US$100 per barrel, capital outflow, and IDR depreciation. The dilemma faced by the Government and Bank […]
OPPM’s credit outlook remains stable, underpinned by its resilient profit margins and well-integrated operational structure, despite constraints posed by a moderate financial policy. The company boasts an impressive EBITDA margin of 46.8% in 2023, outperforming peers like Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk (29.4%) and Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia Tbk (12.5%), owing to its export-oriented […]