
SIMINVEST – Fixed Income Monthly Report – Mar 2026
In March 2026, global markets were shaped by escalating tensions

In March 2026, global markets were shaped by escalating tensions

Indonesian government bond yields declined across the curve, with the 5Y falling 9.9 bps to 6.44% and the 10Y dropping 17.8 bps to 6.68%, resulting in a flatter 5Y–10Y curve, while longer tenors also saw notable compression. Meanwhile, government sukuk yields moved lower in line with the rally, and the INDOBEX Composite rose 0.53% to 343.97. On the macro side, inflation eased to 3.48% YoY in March with core at 2.52% YoY, while the trade surplus narrowed to USD1.28bn as imports outpaced exports and the PMI edged down to 50.1, signaling softer momentum. On the credit side, BSN maintained an idAA+ rating with a stable outlook supported by strong fundamentals, while SMF’s upcoming bond maturity remains manageable given solid liquidity.

Indonesian government bond yields moved mixed, with the 5Y edging down 0.1 bps to 6.54% while the 10Y rose 2.6 bps to 6.86%, resulting in a steeper 5Y–10Y curve. Meanwhile, the Indo auction showed solid demand with IDR58.2T in bids and IDR40.0T awarded (1.46x), led by FR0109 and FR0108, bringing net issuance to IDR39.3T. On the global side, US labor data signaled gradual cooling as job openings fell to 6.88M, while US Treasuries rallied with the 2Y at 3.82% and 10Y at 4.33%, as traders continue to price in a steady Fed stance. On the credit side, INKP and BRPT maintain manageable maturities, supported by strong liquidity and refinancing plans.

Fixed Income Daily One Pager Series — Daily Bond Lantern Indonesian

PT Petrosea Tbk “PTRO” PTRO benefits from a strong competitive position

Fixed Income Daily One Pager Series — Daily Bond Lantern Indonesian

Fixed Income Daily One Pager Series — Daily Bond Lantern Indonesia

Perceiving 3% Deficit Ceiling Impact Amid Oil Shock The escalation of

By the end of February 2026, global markets were heavily

Indonesia in Oil Shock Risk As of 28 February 2026, the